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by Ricardo Caballero, Kevin N. Cowan,
Eduardo M. R. A. Engel, and Alejandro Micco
No. 2, September 2004 - December 2004
Motivation for the Research
Microeconomic
flexibility, by facilitating the ongoing process of creative
destruction,
is at the heart
of economic growth in modern market economies.
The main obstacle to microeconomic flexibility is adjustment
costs. Some of these costs are purely technological, while
others are institutional.
Chief among the latter is labor market regulation,
in particular, job security provisions. Although the literature on the impact
of labor market regulation on labor markets is extensive
and contentious, there is agreement that job security provisions
reduce restructuring.
Despite this consensus, the empirical evidence supporting
the negative impact of labor market
regulation on microeconomic flexibility is scant at best. This is not surprising,
as the obstacles to empirical success are legion. In this
paper, the authors make a new attempt to develop empirical
september 2004 – december 2004 21 evidence supporting the proposition that job
security provisions reduce restructuring and thus limit microeconomic flexibility.
Research
Approach
The authors develop a methodology that enables them to bring together
an extensive new data set on labor market regulation constructed by
Djankov et al., with comparable cross-country, crosssectoral data on employment
and output from the UNIDO data set. They emphasize the key distinction between
effective and official labor market regulation.
The methodology builds on the
simple partial-adjustment idea that larger adjustment costs are reflected
in slower employment adjustment to shocks. The accumulation
of limited adjustment
to these shocks builds a wedge between frictionless and actual employment,
the main right-handside variable in this approach.
The
authors propose a new way
of estimating this wedge, enabling them to pool data on labor market legislation
with comparable employment and output data for a broad range of countries.
As a result, they are able to enlarge the effective sample
to 60 economies, more
than double the country coverage of previous studies in this literature.
Their approach to measuring effective labor regulation combines
existing measures
of job security provision with measures of rule of law
and government efficiency.
Key Findings
- Countries where effective job security legislation is
in place adjust more slowly to imbalances
between frictionless and actual employment.
- In countries with strong
rule of law,moving from the 20th to the 80th percentile of job
security lowers the speed
of adjustment to shocks by 35 percent and cuts annual productivity
growth by 0.86 percent.
- The same movement – from the 20th to the
80th percentile of job security – in countries with low rule of
law reduces the speed of adjustment by only approximately 1 percent
and
productivity growth
by only 0.02 percent.
Implications
Many papers have shown that, in theory, job
security regulation depresses firm-level hiring and firing
decisions. However, conclusive empirical
evidence on the effects of job security regulation has been elusive.
In this paper, the authors fill some of the empirical gap
by developing a methodology
that exploits (1) the recent publication of two cross-country surveys
on employment regulations and (2) the homogeneous data on
employment and production available
in the UNIDO dataset. By combining the measures of employment regulation
with various proxies for law enforcement, they also solve
the problem posed by differences
in the degree of regulation enforcement
across countries.
22 research review
Full text of Working
Paper 04-6 
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